In 1948, Democrat President
Truman was in a tough race against Republican Governor Thomas E.
Dewey of New York. Senator Strom Thurmond ran a pretty tough campaign
in the South under the States' Rights Democratic banner, promising to
take the party back from the landed Democratic leadership of the
times due to their support of integration of the armed forces. In
four states, these Dixiecrats actually snatched the Democratic ballot
line, taking away the electoral votes of each. Due to the closeness
of the election, it was widely speculated that the Dixiecrats would
supplant the old guard of the Democratic Party in the event of a
failure. However, Truman rode on the appeal of an underdog and
defeated both his competitors.
A few days ago, conventional
wisdom in American politics was shattered. Republican Donald J. Trump
defeated the presumptuous candidate, Democrat Hillary Clinton,
pulling the solidly-Democratic Rust Belt from her and winning a near
landslide in the Electoral College, despite losing the popular vote
by a few hundred thousand votes. Republicans retained the Congress.
While all the polls predicted otherwise. Some powerful Democrats
blame independent candidates for the loss in this incredibly close
election, which could have gone the other way with a few hundred
thousand votes. Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein, in
particular. But this won't work at all. The old guard is crumbling,
and a new political landscape is being formed as I write.